Geodetic Forecast of Long Term Earthquake Potential in Southern
California
Using strain rates derived from
SCEC Crustal Motion Map 3.0
we have devised a model to forecast long-term earthquake potential in
Southern California. A paper documenting the model has been submitted
to Seismological Research Letters. The numerical version of the forecast
can be found on the website of the
SCEC Regional Earthquake Likelihood Model (RELM), or in the files
linked below.