CONFERENCE ON "EARTHQUAKE PREDICTABILITY AND TIME-DEPENDENT FORECASTING"

Brief power-point presentations for the meeting

Power-point presentations for the conference, PPT file, 3.1 Mb, 2007/01/27-31.

RELATED POSTERS AND POWER-POINT PRESENTATIONS

Poster at SCEC 2006 annual meeting, "Statistical modeling of seismic moment release", PDF file, 6.5 Mb.

Power-point presentation for SCEC CSEP workshop, June 7-8, 2006, "GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION EXPERIMENTS"; PPT file, 4.5 Mb, 2006/6/9.

Poster for SCEC 2006 September 10-12 meeting, PPT file, 0.35 Mb, 2006/9/6.

VARIOUS RELEVANT PUBLICATIONS

38. Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson, 1994. Long-term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 13,685-13,700.

58. Jackson, D. D., and Y. Y. Kagan, "Testable earthquake forecasts for 1999", Seism. Res. Lett., 70, 393-403, 1999.

62. Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson, "Probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes", Geophys. J. Int., 143, 438-453, 2000.

75. Bird, P., and Y. Y. Kagan, 2004. "Plate-tectonic analysis of shallow seismicity: apparent boundary width, beta, corner magnitude, coupled lithosphere thickness, and coupling in seven tectonic settings", Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 94(6), 2380-2399.

79. Zaliapin, I. V., Y. Y. Kagan, and F. Schoenberg, 2005. "Approximating the distribution of Pareto sums", Pure Appl. Geoph. (PAGEOPH), 162(6-7), 1187-1228.

82. Kagan, Y. Y. and D. D. Jackson, 2006. Comment on `Testing earthquake prediction methods: "The West Pacific short-term forecast of earthquakes with magnitude MwHRV >= 5.8"' by V. G. Kossobokov, Tectonophysics, 413(1-2), 33-38.

89. Kagan, Y. Y., D. D. Jackson, and Y. F. Rong, 2007. A testable five-year forecast of moderate and large earthquakes in southern California based on smoothed seismicity, Special issue of SRL, Seism. Res. Lett., 78(1), 94-98.

Kagan, Y. Y., 2007. "On earthquake predictability measurement: information score and error diagram", Pure Applied Geoph., accepted.