Manuscript text (in plain TeX)

Manuscript text (in PostScript)

Tables

Manuscript GJI text (in GJI LaTeX)

Manuscript GJI text (in PostScript)

GJI Tables (in GJI LaTeX)

GJI Tables (in PostScript)

Its figures (in PostScript): Fig. 1; Fig. 2a; Fig. 2b; Fig. 3; Fig. 4ab (color); Fig. 4cd (color); Fig. 4ef (color); Fig. 4ab (grey); Fig. 4cd (grey); Fig. 4ef (grey); Fig. 5; Fig. 6; Fig. 7; Fig. 8a (color); Fig. 8b (color); Fig. 8a (grey); Fig. 8b (grey); Fig. 9; Fig. 10.

My publications and manuscripts on the same or similar topics, available on Web:

13. Kagan and Knopoff, Proc. 8-th Int. Conf. Earthq. Eng., vol. 1, 295, 1984;

17. Kagan and Knopoff, Science, 236, 1563, 1987;

28. Kagan, GJI, 106, 135, 1991;

33. Molchan and Kagan, JGR, 97, 4823, 1992;

38. Kagan and Jackson, JGR, 99, 13,685, 1994;

58. Jackson and Kagan, Seism. Res. Lett., 70, 393, 1999;

72-73. "EARTHQUAKES: SCIENCE AND HAZARD REDUCTION", 2002 NATO Arbus book components".

84. Helmstetter, A., Y. Y. Kagan, and D. D. Jackson, 2006. Comparison of short-term and time-independent earthquake forecast models for southern California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 96(1), 90-106.

88. Helmstetter, A., Y. Y. Kagan, and D. D. Jackson, 2007. High-resolution time-independent grid-based forecast for M>=5 earthquakes in California, Seism. Res. Lett., 78(1), 78-86.

89. Kagan, Y. Y., D. D. Jackson, and Y. F. Rong, 2007. A testable five-year forecast of moderate and large earthquakes in southern California based on smoothed seismicity, Seism. Res. Lett., 78(1), 94-98.

FORTRAN codes and catalog files used to create daily forecast updates

Publication files:

Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson, 2000. Probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, (Leon Knopoff's Festschrift), Geophys. J. Int., 143, 438-453, PDF file, 0.8 Mb.

CORRECTIONS, PS file.

Abstract from Blackwell Synergy

Yan Y. Kagan and David D. Jackson: SHORT- AND LONG-TERM EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING, Abstract of the talk at 2007 IUGG meeting, Section US012 (Perugia, Italy, 2007/07/13)

Yan Y. Kagan and David D. Jackson: SHORT- AND LONG-TERM EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING, Power-point slides for the talk at 2007 IUGG meeting (Perugia, Italy, 2007/07/13)

Power-point presentations for CSEP April 23, 2007 meeting, 2.4Mb.

Power-point presentations for Lake Arrowhead WGCEP meeting, March 5-8, 2007, 4.6Mb.

Poster presentation for SCEC CSEP workshop, June 7-8, 2006; PPT file, 4.5 Mb, 2006/6/9.