-----

92. Kagan, Y. Y., 2007. "On earthquake predictability measurement: information score and error diagram", Pure Appl. Geoph. (PAGEOPH), 164(10), 1947-1962, doi: 10.1007/s00024-007-0260-1

-----

PDF file, 0.6 Mb.

FROM XENA SERVER (IF MOHO IS DOWN) -- PDF file, 0.6 Mb.

Correction, PS file

Postprint from UC eScholarship Repository.

-----

PDF file, ms, submitted to PAGEOPH, 0.2 Mb.

PS file, ms, latest version 2007/06/06, 0.3 Mb.

Ms, LaTeX file, latest version 2007/06/06.

Four MATLAB programs to produce Fig. 5; run eqpred3a.m. eqpred3a.m; gamseis3.m; pred7.m; twop.m.

-----

PDF file, updated, 0.1 Mb.

LaTeX file.

-----

PDF file, 0.1 Mb.

-----

PDF file, draft mode, 1-column format, 0.6 Mb.

PDF file, 2-column format, 0.2 Mb.

Fig. 1, PDF file.

Fig. 2, PDF file.

Fig. 3, PDF file.

Fig. 4, PDF file.

-----

AGU LaTeX file.

-----

Poster for SCEC 2006 September 10-12 meeting, PPT file, 0.35 Mb, 2006/9/6.

Power-point presentation for SCEC CSEP workshop, June 7-8, 2006, "GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION EXPERIMENTS"; PPT file, 4.5 Mb, 2006/6/9.

-----

3. Kagan, Y., and L. Knopoff, 1977. Earthquake risk prediction as a stochastic process, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 14(2), 97-108.

33. Molchan, G. M., and Y. Y. Kagan, 1992. Earthquake prediction and its optimization, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 4823-4838.

95. Kagan, Y. Y., 2009. "Testing long-term earthquake forecasts: likelihood methods and error diagrams", Geophys. J. Int., Geophys. J. Int., 177(2), 532-542. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2008.04064.x

-----

Vere-Jones, D. (1998), Probabilities and information gain for earthquake forecasting, Computational Seismology, 30, Geos, Moscow, 248-263, LaTeX file, 45 Kb

Vere-Jones, D. (1998), Probabilities and information gain for earthquake forecasting, Computational Seismology, 30, Geos, Moscow, 248-263, PDF file (from LaTeX file and scanned figures), 2.5 Mb

Daley, D. J., and D. Vere-Jones, 2004. Scoring probability forecasts for point processes: The entropy score and information gain, J. Applied Probability, 41A: 297-312, (Sp. Iss.), PDF file, 157 Kb

David Harte and David Vere-Jones, The Entropy Score and its Uses in Earthquake Forecasting, Pure Appl. Geophys., 162 (2005) 1229-1253, PDF file 0.4 Mb.

David Vere-Jones, 2009. Stochastic Models for Earthquake Occurrence and Mechanisms, Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science, 10.1007/978-0-387-30440-3_155

Molchan, G. 2010. Space-Time Earthquake Prediction: The Error Diagrams PAGEOPH, DOI 10.1007/s00024-010-0087-z

-----