89. Kagan, Y. Y., D. D. Jackson, and Y. F. Rong, 2007. A testable five-year forecast of moderate and large earthquakes in southern California based on smoothed seismicity, Seism. Res. Lett., 78(1), 94-98.

PDF file of published ms.

PDF files of published SRL 78(1) papers from RELM Web site.

FINAL VERSION:

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Fig. 1 PS file, 90 Kb

Fig. 2 PS file, 5.7 Mb

REVISED VERSION:

Ms PDF file, text and figures

Ms text Latex file

Ms text PS file

Provisional southern California earthquake probability forecast map (after 2005/08/24) based on seismicity 1850-2005 -- 0.1 Mb, Figure 1

Provisional southern California earthquake probability forecast, focal mechanisms and their error bounds (rotation angle in degrees), 1850-2005 catalog data used, PS file 6 mb -- Figure 2

ORIGINAL VERSION:

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Ms text Latex file

62. Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson, "Probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes", Geophys. J. Int., 143, 438-453, 2000.

72-73. "EARTHQUAKE SCIENCE AND SEISMIC RISK REDUCTION", 2003 NATO Arbus book components.