84. Helmstetter, A., Y. Y. Kagan, and D. D. Jackson, 2006. Comparison of short-term and time-independent earthquake forecast models for southern California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 96(1), 90-106.

PDF file publication, 1.6 Mb.

Correction, PS file

LaTeX file.

PDF file, ms.

PDF file from Columbia Agnes site.

Agnes Helmstetter, Yan Y. Kagan and David D. Jackson "Comparison of short-term and long-term earthquake forecast models for Southern California" -- 2004 AGU poster, Paper Number: S23A-0287, 6 Mb

Short-term forecasts based on past seismicity and earthquake clustering for Southern California, updated daily (temporarily suspended)

17. Kagan, Y. Y., and L. Knopoff, "Statistical short-term earthquake prediction", Science, 236, 1563-1567, 1987.

38. Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson, 1994. "Long-term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes," J. Geophys. Res., 99, 13,685-13,700.

62. Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson, "Probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes", Geophys. J. Int., 143, 438-453, 2000.

88. Helmstetter, A., Y. Y. Kagan, and D. D. Jackson, 2007. High-resolution time-independent grid-based forecast for M>=5 earthquakes in California, Seism. Res. Lett., 78(1), 78-86.